Best NFL football knockout, survivor pool picks, advice, strategy for 2024 Week 1: Fade this home favorite

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Making Week 1 NFL survivor pool picks can be a tricky task since the offseason brought a host of changes across the league. The Week 1 NFL odds can be a useful tool when it comes to making Week 1 NFL knockout pool picks since they highlight teams that are most likely to win their openers. Cincinnati is the only team favored by at least one touchdown in Week 1, listed at -8.5 against New England. Buffalo (vs. Arizona) and Seattle (vs. Denver) are both favored by 5.5 points in their respective games, while New Orleans (vs. Carolina) and San Francisco (vs. Jets) are both favored by four. Which teams can you feel good about in your 2024 NFL eliminator pool picks? Before finalizing any Week 1 NFL survivor picks, see which team the red-hot SportsLine Projection Model just went all-in on.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 181-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 35-21 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022. 

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 1 NFL odds and locked in its Week 1 survivor pool pick. You can only see who the model is backing this week at SportsLine.

Top Week 1 NFL survivor pool predictions 

In Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season, the model is shying away from the Miami Dolphins, even though they’re coming off an 11-6 season and are favored over a Jaguars team that went 9-8 and missed the playoffs. The Dolphins have 20 players who were not on their 53-man roster last season, so they are dealing with a lot of turnover heading into the season. They are going to be without new wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr. in Week 1, as he has already been placed on the IR, leaving the team with a thin wide receiver room.

Their offensive line suffered a key loss in the offseason when Robert Hunt went to Carolina, and their defensive line lost Christian Wilkins. Jacksonville has been a dangerous road team over the past two seasons, covering the spread in nine of its last 12 road games. The Dolphins went 2-4 in their final six games last season, so the model recommends avoiding them early in the 2024 campaign. See which team to pick instead here.

How to make Week 1 NFL survivor pool picks 

Instead, the model is backing a surprising home team that wins outright in almost 80% of simulations. The time to pick this team is now, and you can only see the play over at SportsLine.

Which surprising team is a must-back in your Week 1 survivor pool? Visit SportsLine now to see which team carries you to victory in Week 1, all from the advanced computer model that consistently crushes the NFL and is up well over $7,000 since its inception.


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